For them, Nord Stream 2, a proposed pipeline that would link Russia to Germany, is a betrayal by some Western European states of their security interests: a project that increases Russian leverage and results in increased prices.
So for those states, U. LNG are welcome. President Donald Trump offered Europe U. France may be considering a total ban on fossil fuel—propelled vehicles by , and Volvo may plan to launch a totally electric fleet by , but the harsh memories of the cold winters of and are stark reminders of a truly obsessive addiction. In the meantime, France, Germany, Italy, Scotland, and a few other European areas have banned fracking for shale gas. Energy trade between Russia and Europe started during the Cold War and has expanded significantly during the last five decades.
However, Russia is at least as dependent on this energy trade as the EU is. Without this income, the Russian state would lack the money to provide basic services to its population. Due to existing path dependencies pipelines and contracts , Russia cannot easily shift its energy sales toward other markets, such as China: large infrastructure investments would be necessary, which are difficult to make at a time of low oil prices and financial sanctions.
Moreover, the EU has an increasing range of options to buy energy from other exporters, including numerous underused LNG import terminals. These factors mitigate the risks related to the import of Russian energy. The issue is not dependence but resilience. Europe benefits from access to Russian energy and has an interest in keeping Russia dependent on European markets and therefore in providing it with an incentive for a stable Europe.
Leverage is a two-way street, and some interdependence gives Europe some leverage over Russia as well as vice versa. The key for Europe is to ensure that there are alternatives to Russian energy through diversification and interconnection of pipelines. All this requires a European policy rather than national freelancing like the proposed Nord Stream 2 pipeline to bring Russian gas to Germany under the Baltic Sea.
In addition, there is the environmental dimension to dependence on Russian energy, as this means continued reliance on fossil fuels and dirty energy. Follow the conversation— Sign up to receive email updates when comments are posted to this article. The problem isn't Russian gas or nordstream 2, the problem is that certain states are unwilling to invest in diversification infrastructure and IF they are willing to invest they are scared that their investments cannot compete on price with Russian gas and thus try to stop competition by political means, that last part is a big nono in the EU because once you open that box of pandora you can bet your ss that western EU countries wil start doing the same and guess who will get the short end of the stick between western and eastern Europe.
Europe has been unable to put more effort on stabilization of the Middle East by focus on gas pipelines to Europe. So relatively cheap Russian gas fields have now not many competitors. Carnegie Europe. Sign up for Carnegie Email. Experts Publications Events. Experts Publications. Experten Publikationen.
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Brussels Regions and Countries Issues. Sign Up for Strategic Europe If you enjoyed reading this, subscribe for more! Judy Dempsey. July 12, Krzysztof Bledowski Council director and senior economist at the Manufacturers Alliance for Productivity and Innovation Europe has depended on Russian energy for a long time. Marco Siddi Senior researcher at the Finnish Institute of International Affairs Energy trade between Russia and Europe started during the Cold War and has expanded significantly during the last five decades.
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GIS Dossier: How Turkey scored big in the gas pipeline game
Report Recommend. In the third part of his series, the expert added another important aspect to his analysis: the role of Turkmenistan , estimated to have the fourth- largest gas reserves in the world , in the TANAP project. He looked at the obstacles, mainly mounted by Russia, to the proposed Trans-Caspian Pipeline, a link needed to bring Turkmen gas to Europe. It ended years of economic and geopolitical competition, tense corporate rivalry and intense debate about the future for European energy supply security, wrote Dr.
Umbach in his August report. The two pipelines ended the Russian monopoly of supplying Caspian gas to Europe. According to that report, the European pipeline link with TANAP was planned to receive 16 bcm of natural gas from the Shah Deniz II offshore gas field in Azerbaijan, with six bcm for the Turkish market and 10 bcm for the European market. Shah Deniz project The undersea gas fields contain 1. On top of that, Azeri gas, located deep under the Caspian seabed, is expensive to produce and must be transported 4, kilometers across land that is vulnerable to geopolitical shifts and terrorist attacks.
The geopolitical importance of the two pipelines cannot be overstated, Mr. Umbach explained, as they ended the Russian monopoly of supplying Caspian gas to Europe. Turkey also has a vital interest in reducing its gas import-dependence on Russia and Iran, he added. Umbach pointed out in his follow-up report in September Frank Umbach wrote in October The Russian-backed South Stream alternative could become a fait accompli, the expert warned, before the Trans-Adriatic Pipeline consortium implemented extra supply options for Azerbaijan and other non-Russian gas exports to Southeastern Europe.
Next, Mr. Putin said Russia and Turkey had signed a memorandum of understanding to build a new Black Sea pipeline with four strands and the same capacity of 63 billion cubic meters per year. It was called Turkish Stream. The project was described by Dr. Umbach here.
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However, Turkish Stream met with instant opposition in the European Commission. The Turks also learned that Russia is not a reliable supplier. Deliveries returned to normal only when the two sides agreed on the Turkish Stream memorandum. Putin offered Turkey — a major trading partner — a 6 percent price discount on Russian gas. Among other measures, Moscow suspended Turkish Stream. Something had to give. By late June of , Prince Michael commented on a sudden turn of events :.
Then, over the past two weeks, three remarkable things happened. On June 26, Israel and Turkey agreed to restore normal diplomatic relations, potentially unlocking the development of huge offshore natural gas fields in the Eastern Mediterranean. The next day, [the] Kremlin … announced that Mr.
Erdogan had apologized for the downing of the Russian warplane in a letter to Mr. Umbach for GIS in April Turkey, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan wanted to get the pipeline up and running by The EU has a knack, Dr. Since , Mr. Umbach wrote, Russia has taken the opportunity to enhance its energy ties and foreign policy cooperation with Turkey. Ankara, which feared further Kurdish advances in Syria, felt it needed an ally in the conflict across its border and decided to reach out to Moscow.
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Construction of the first pipe started in May According to recent news reports, gas could flow through TurkStream by late If Russia builds all four of the TurkStream pipes it has planned, Dr. The pipeline could create significant bottlenecks inside the Turkish-Greece gas infrastructure system, as 10 bcm of Azeri gas for Europe is transported through the same network. As a signatory to the Energy Charter Treaty, Turkey seeks to encourage investment and trade, and ensure reliable transit. At this point, Turkey still has energy diversification options, but all are complicated by various political factors.
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In his latest Sept. Despite the growing friction between the European Union and Turkey, Dr. Turkey — a centuries-old rival of Russia — remains wary of becoming too dependent on Moscow, he emphasized.
As a signatory to the Energy Charter Treaty, Turkey seeks to encourage investment and trade, as well as ensure reliable transit, he asserted. Ankara is unlikely, Dr. Therefore, Turkey may try to balance its growing partnership with Russia by cooperating on the Southern Gas Corridor project, expanding supplies into the TANAP-TAP network with non-Russian gas and maintaining functional but ambivalent cooperation with the EU on energy and foreign policy.
If Croatia joins Eurozone in upcoming years, this acquisition will give Putin a big weapon against EU. Below, please see the list which was published by the Central Bank of Russia Federation related to their investments abroad. Especially, after the Ukraine dispute in , Poland swore not to buy natural gas from Russia after the completion of their agreements in and they are actually sticking to this plan. Their LNG terminal in Swinoujscie will be expanded by the end of Polish government is aware that the prices will be higher compared to Russian dry gas but they are willing to pay the extra cost in order to secure their energy supply.
In this regard, they came up with certain measures which addresses the supply problems: 16 - Increasing energy efficiency which will lead to lowering energy consumption. Achieving energy and climate targets. UK followed Netherlands with discoveries in the North Sea. At the beginning of the s, Norwegian gas sector also entered to the market.
Starting from till Norway managed to build 15 pipelines with a total length of km. During that time, the idea of exporting Soviet gas to Europe was a dream considering both politically and geographically.
Soviet Russia overcame these problem during s and s by building pipelines from Siberia to Ukraine. During that time, gas flowed to Europe via giant fields discovered at Medvezhe, Urengoy and Yamburg. Between 70s and 80s, gas sold to Europe increased from 3.
European Energy Security
By s Russian gas import reached to bcm. In conjunction with dry gas, today Europe also buys LNG via sea freight from both countries. When the European Coal and Steel Community found in , its main aim was to free the movement of coal and steel between member states. Another important development in the energy came 5 years later with the foundation of the EURATOM European Atomic Energy Community which targeted to create a common market for nuclear energy and has been committed to developing nuclear energy capacity in Europe since its foundation.